If you are reading this, you probably already know that I don’t believe in preparing for global disasters if you don’t have basic preparedness already taken care of. Does that mean that I will never post on those possibilities? Absolutely not. I will be using the series model again and will be discussing lots of different large natural or human disasters. I will try to keep my personal opinions of if they will occur to a minimum and spend most of my time just discussing what could happen.
Today I am writing on the possibility of a global pandemic & preparedness that may be needed. I also give examples of lessons learned from the H1N1 “Swine” Flu Virus.
We all know that there are many large natural and human disasters that would cause mass confusion and hysteria. One thing that many people can agree with, and I feel, is very likely to happen is a pandemic. I cannot say what would mutate to be a pandemic, but the flu is actually a good candidate.
The Swine Flu (H1N1) was a great candidate for this pandemic because it actually didn’t kill most people from the sickness itself. It was actually just as deadly to those with extremely great immune system response. It would overstimulate their immune system. It was a virus that had the effect similar to an auto-immune disease. So young, energetic adults had just as bad a response from it as the aged.
The saving grace from this flu was that it spread slowly and was able to be contained. If it had spread more easily, I would say that it would have been a rough virus indeed.
The average lifetime of a person is about 80 years now. So it would be easily be 100 to 150 years for five generations of people. This is about how long it takes for a legitimate change or adaptation to occur in a bloodline. Viruses can go through hundreds of cycles an hour. It would take no time for a virus to mutate to be resistant to modern medicine and to be extremely contageous.
Viral Pandemics are not science-fiction, they are a known reality. Examples are:
So, simply, don’t think that it can’t happen. It can. Do I think that the implication of such a disease is purely medical. No. The worse part of this will be economic.
The black plague was about 5% of the population. Back then, people didn’t even really get around. Today, the world has gotten much smaller. Everyone is flying all over the place. It is EXTREMELY easy for some of this stuff to travel with us now.
Once something is spreading like crazy, we will tell everyone to wash their hands and wear useless dust masks. Once we realize it was such a bad deal, and have already lost millions of people, we will tell people to stay at home. Everyone will be quarantined to home.
What do you think the economy will look like when everyone has to stay home for a month or more. No progress or construction. The world’s economy will tank.
It will take at least a few months for the recovery. Once that happens, we will have a boom. Why? Our unemployment will be almost gone. This is because we will have lost 10-15% of our workforce, but not from the sickness itself. It will be from dehydration and sickness created from the confinement. The rest of the people will have to pick up the slack.
The issue is the several months that you will be stuck in your home. If you aren’t sick and in peril, you will need to make it through the time of confinement. This is what you should be prepared for. If you follow my “low cost preparation” posts, you will definitely be pretty much ready for this.
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